Methodology
How Pokélytics is built
We summarise stored prices; we do not predict future prices. Scores and labels use your stored price series only, not off-platform sold counts. This page is what the model can and cannot see.
Three separate lenses
We never collapse these into a single "good / bad card" verdict. Each lens answers a different question, and the scanner lets you sort by whichever fits the moment.
- 01 · Market interest — how worth watching the card is right now on stored prices (recent moves, activity magnitude, tape freshness). This is the primary badge score.
- 02 · Pattern clarity (v2) — how clean and stable the historical pattern looks (momentum, pullback timing, volatility / jumpiness). Shown in drivers when you dig in.
- 03 · Activity — raw move magnitude in the series. High activity feeds interest but is not the whole story.
- 04 · Risk tags — shorthand from reasons (e.g. elevated volatility vs narrative trend).
Sparse history is shown, not hidden
Few listings do not turn into fake volume in our data. When history is thin or confidence is low, we say so, and the default scanner uses floors so noisy cards do not crowd the top of the list.
What we use — and what we don't
- Use: stored prints for the selected variant lane (e.g. condition / printing), calendar horizons for % moves, and modeled scores from those features.
- Don't use: TCGPlayer sold counts, eBay sold lots, or grading-pop analytics — triangulate there yourself when liquidity matters.
Simple vs technical view
By default, Pokélytics leads with plain-language tiers — Very active, Quiet lately, and so on — not raw 0–100 scores. The read and price behavior come first; numbers support the interpretation when you want them.
On the scanner (and in card views), turn on Technical detail to show numeric levels, pattern clarity, attention, and confidence columns. Same data — less jargon by default.
Inspect the data
On any card with a chart, export the stored series as CSV from the Chart panel — audit what the model saw. The export contains every price point we have for that variant, in the order the model read them.
Built for people who watch many cards
Scanner, portfolios, and alerts (Confirm / Pullback / Invalidate) tie the read to price levels you can track. Still not investment advice.